Grand
Central
March 8, 2005
Minnesota Twins
In their typical fashion, the Twins was not particularly
active in the free agent spending this winter, instead depending on
their
productive farm system for additional talent.
Rather than spend big bucks on high profile sluggers at the corners
like Beltre, Sexson and Delgado,
the Twins should get above average production from full seasons with
Justin Morneau at first and
Michael Cuddyer at third. While Morneau is certainly an upgrade
offensively over Doug Mientkiewicz, the team's groundball pitchers like
Carlos Silva will miss Minky's glove at first where he not
only gobbled up everything toward the second base gap, but proved
invaluable in scooping throws out of the dirt and keeping errant throws
out of the stands. Cuddyer should be able to replicate the
offense the team got from Corey Koskie, but with the added benefit of
an
extra 20 or so games played as he is not nearly as injury prone.
Barring any setbacks,
Joe Mauer will probably split time between catcher and DH so that he
can stay
in the line-up for 130-140 games. To
relieve him behind the plate, the Twins brought in Mike Redmond.
In addition having a career average near .500 when facing Tom Glavine,
Redmond's forte is handling pitchers so their shouldn't be much if any
drop-off because Henry Blanco was allowed to leave. The departure of
Cristian Guzman opened
the
only real position battle, at shortstop, where Jason Bartlett and Nick
Punto
will vie for the top spot with journeyman Juan Castro. Castro is
more of an insurance policy for Bartlett, who has the most offensive
upside of the three, with Punto being a Plan B. If second baseman
Luis Rivas doesn’t improve his play,
Michael Cuddyer could be shifted to take his place, opening the door
for another
position battle between Terry Tiffee and ex-Tiger Eric Munson.
Munson has never been short on power but his
selection at the plate has been abominable.
While the Twins don’t have a track record of teaching patience to
hitters, they may be able to impart the benefits of selectivity.
Two other low cost additions who will likely
spend most of the year in AAA as extra injury insurance are Armando
Rios and CJ
Nitkowski. Neither should have an
impact this season. One other addition isn't technically an
addition at all: Joe Mays will be returning from arm surgery that
sidelined him all of last year. Early results this spring have
been very positive, so a return to his 2001 form is possible.
Cleveland Indians
Had Cleveland's bullpen been handled more competently through
the first four months last season, they might have challenged the
Twins for the division title. To reduce the number of
wrong choices available to manager Eric Wedge, Arthur Rhodes was
brought in at great expense (Matt Lawton was traded to Pittsburgh for
the priveledge) and the team signed Scott Sauerbeck. It remains to be
seen if Bob Wickman's tight rope act will play successfully for one
more year, but at least the team now was viable options with Bobby
Howry and a season's worth of experience for Rafael Betancourt and
David Riske. The team's offense might improve with the addition
of Aaron Boone, who ostensibly replaces Lawton in the line-up, but the
insistence of keeping Casey Blake in the line-up with a move to the
outfield probably will cost as many runs on defense.
Juan Gonzales was also signed with his lure of tremendous offensive
potential. In the end, however, his addition will probably bring
little to the team except for some clubhouse drama and something for
the trainers to work on those times during the season when everyone
else is healthy. Speaking of drama, Jose Hernandez keep the fans
on the edge of their seats with his strikeout-or-home run philosophy at
the plate and both he and Alex Cora will provide some insurance for a
team that will be using two greehorns - Brandon Phillips and Johnny
Peralta - in the middle infield. Cora had a surprisingly good
year all around in LA last season, but his doubles total was
incongruous with his home run numbers so it's likely last year was a
fluke. Jake Gautreau and Jeff Leifer were brought on as well, but
their contributions will likely be in AAA. The big signing in
Cleveland was Kevin Millwood, who has a reputation for being a big time
starter, but his career numbers tell a slightly different story.
He's had only two dominant seasons (1999 and 2002), the rest of which
have been largely solid but unspectacular. Moving to the AL
to a pretty good hitters park is not exactly a recipe for Cy Young
candidacy. Maybe the Cleveland front office is hoping he's on a
three year cycle. His pitch efficiency has been in decline for
three straight seasons and his k/bb ratio for two.
Another troubling sign is that batters' batting and slugging have
increased significantly the last two years. The one positive in
his corner is that his groundball rate has been mostly improving for
the last four years.
The big name that Detroit brought in this winter
was Magglio Ordonez. When healthy, he's one of the 10 most
productive players in the AL. However, the bone marrow edema he
suffered in his knee last year is career threatening.
True, if the condition has been controlled or completely healed, the
Tigers got a huge bargain. But it's not as though they were
really hurting for outfield production. Craig Monroe came on like
a freight train down the stretch last year, and Rondell White, Bobby
Higginson and Dmitri Young are serviceable. More to the point, it
wasn't offensive production where the Tigers were 13th in the league
last year. It was in pitching despite playing in one of the most
pitcher-friendly parks in the majors. Overpaying for a couple of
Derek Lowe/Pedro Astacio/Orlando Hernandez/Esteban Loaiza/Eric
Milton/Odalis Perez/Jon Leiber types would have been far
more productive for this team than risking big money on a closer who
may be washed up
and an outfielder who may be limited to DH for the rest of his
career.